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Red109
252638.3
967613.9
171617.7
Blue43
957820.0
282623.8
309011.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87670204010012014016010943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +23
8Coral scored#3
29Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
43Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
50Foul points0
109Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2526
#18
38.30.9
37.836.9
Auto5.3
Teleop31.5
End1.5
red by 14.5
2826
#27
23.81.7
23.321.6
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End5.5
Second
1716
#41
17.70.9
19.818.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End1.5
blue by 2.4
9578
#35
20.01.1
20.619.5
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End0.7
Third
9676
#47
13.91.3
14.313.0
Auto2.9
Teleop9.8
End1.2
red by 2.2
3090
#43
11.71.7
15.113.4
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed