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Red82
853128.9
638130.8
61667.0
Blue98
914915.4
222528.3
673216.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82710501001508298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+2Endgame
Fouls+16
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
14Coral scored#10
49Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
69Total teleop55
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points18
82Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6381
#24
30.80.4
28.428.0
Auto5.8
Teleop21.7
End3.3
red by 2.4
2225
#17
28.30.2
24.024.2
Auto4.8
Teleop16.4
End7.1
Second
8531
#37
28.90.6
31.230.6
Auto4.7
Teleop22.4
End1.8
red by 12.8
6732
#39
16.10.2
15.315.5
Auto2.7
Teleop12.1
End1.3
Third
6166
#51
7.00.6
5.24.6
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 8.4
9149
#25
15.40.2
16.716.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned