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Red64
874436.5
338115.6
761921.7
Blue146
253128.7
319759.4
591429.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811235010015020064146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+82
Endgame+84
Fouls+82
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave3
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points30
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +65
6Coral scored#21
22Coral points75
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
32Total teleop97
Reef
2L4#13
2L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#5
9Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +82
2Foul points0
64Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8744
#11
36.52.5
36.333.7
Auto7.0
Teleop26.8
End2.7
blue by 22.9
59.41.9
55.357.2
Auto11.4
Teleop42.4
End5.6
Second
7619
#34
21.71.7
23.421.6
Auto2.9
Teleop13.9
End4.8
blue by 7.4
5914
#14
29.12.7
26.429.1
Auto6.8
Teleop18.3
End4.0
Third
3381
#45
15.61.7
17.415.6
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End3.4
blue by 13.1
2531
#16
28.71.9
24.826.6
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned