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Red38
558618.6
297713.3
710319.4
Blue86
453123.6
401117.9
250932.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5779020401001203886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+32
Endgame+54
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +29
3Coral scored#9
11Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
15Total teleop44
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#3
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
6Foul points0
38Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7103
#36
19.42.4
21.819.4
Auto8.0
Teleop9.0
End2.4
blue by 12.7
32.11.7
30.832.5
Auto6.2
Teleop18.2
End7.6
Second
5586
#44
18.61.7
20.318.6
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End2.5
blue by 5.0
23.61.2
20.922.0
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End4.8
Third
2977
#46
13.31.7
14.913.3
Auto1.4
Teleop10.6
End1.2
blue by 4.7
4011
#28
17.91.2
16.817.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned