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Red22
870012.1
369220.9
206213.4
Blue26
109111.3
590338.0
802420.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64892040801001201402226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
Endgame+10
Fouls+4
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
1Coral scored#4
5Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
5Total teleop13
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
6Foul points0
22Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3692
#22
20.94.2
25.120.9
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End1.9
blue by 17.1
5903
#23
38.03.5
41.738.3
Auto7.7
Teleop24.3
End5.9
Second
2062
#42
13.44.2
17.613.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End2.3
blue by 7.0
8024
#30
20.45.0
19.914.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End4.2
Third
8700
#13
12.14.2
16.912.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End1.5
red by 0.8
1091
#29
11.35.0
16.311.3
Auto2.3
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsMissed