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Red154
400955.5
305515.0
472866.3
Blue65
283036.4
870123.6
171617.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1398505010020025015465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+79Teleop
+89Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points16
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +75
25Coral scored#6
91Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
115Total teleop40
Reef
14L4#3
7L3#3
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
35Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +89
0Foul points0
154Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.32.9
58.060.9
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End8.6
red by 30.0
2830
#33
36.41.8
36.034.2
Auto5.3
Teleop30.8
End0.3
Second
55.52.0
51.153.1
Auto12.9
Teleop37.1
End5.5
red by 31.9
8701
#20
23.61.8
26.024.1
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End5.3
Third
3055
#40
15.02.9
12.115.0
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End2.3
blue by 2.6
1716
#41
17.71.3
18.917.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed