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Red49
402112.7
914915.4
420731.4
Blue81
957820.0
673216.1
219433.6
34%Model gave it66%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72832040601001201404981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+28
Endgame+26
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +21
6Coral scored#13
20Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
34Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#7
1L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points6
49Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4207
#15
31.41.5
33.431.9
Auto5.9
Teleop19.1
End6.4
blue by 2.2
2194
#12
33.60.6
33.534.1
Auto9.2
Teleop21.4
End3.1
Second
9149
#25
15.41.5
16.915.4
Auto3.7
Teleop10.2
End1.5
blue by 4.6
9578
#35
20.00.4
19.519.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End0.7
Third
4021
#48
12.71.5
14.212.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End1.2
blue by 3.4
6732
#39
16.10.6
15.516.1
Auto2.7
Teleop12.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed