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Red95
222528.3
967613.9
638130.8
Blue144
341817.1
9339.8
702145.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7311405010015095144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+25
Endgame+45
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +11
13Coral scored#16
47Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
71Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#8
6L3#7
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
2Foul points6
95Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6381
#24
30.80.7
28.028.7
Auto5.8
Teleop21.7
End3.3
blue by 15.1
45.91.9
41.543.5
Auto11.2
Teleop25.5
End9.2
Second
2225
#17
28.30.9
24.225.1
Auto4.8
Teleop16.4
End7.1
blue by 11.5
93
#7
39.82.8
37.540.3
Auto7.8
Teleop26.5
End5.5
Third
9676
#47
13.90.9
13.013.9
Auto2.9
Teleop9.8
End1.2
blue by 3.2
3418
#32
17.12.8
14.317.1
Auto5.7
Teleop7.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned