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Red54
1718.2
309011.7
853128.9
Blue55
501914.5
70619.5
514816.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71782040601001201405455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+7Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+1
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
7Coral scored#6
25Coral points22
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
12Processor points0
4Net points12
16Algae points12
41Total teleop34
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points6
54Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8531
#37
28.91.7
30.628.9
Auto4.7
Teleop22.4
End1.8
red by 9.3
706
#21
19.52.3
21.919.5
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End1.8
Second
3090
#43
11.71.7
13.411.7
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End2.7
blue by 4.7
5148
#38
16.42.3
18.716.4
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Third
171
#49
8.21.7
9.98.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
blue by 6.3
5019
#31
14.52.3
16.814.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed