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Red132
167527.8
216929.8
53742.5
Blue102
61667.0
252638.3
405418.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12563050100150200132102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+8Teleop
+18Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +4
12Coral scored#14
42Coral points52
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
18Processor points12
24Net points16
42Algae points28
84Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
18Foul points6
132Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
537
#9
42.50.1
43.543.6
Auto5.5
Teleop32.1
End5.0
red by 4.3
2526
#18
38.31.7
36.938.6
Auto5.3
Teleop31.5
End1.5
Second
2169
#10
29.80.1
27.527.6
Auto6.7
Teleop17.6
End5.5
red by 11.7
4054
#50
18.12.4
15.718.1
Auto2.7
Teleop13.3
End2.0
Third
1675
#19
27.80.1
27.727.8
Auto1.4
Teleop20.9
End5.5
red by 20.8
6166
#51
7.02.4
4.67.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed