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Red90
252638.3
250932.1
882121.7
Blue111
638130.8
874436.5
253128.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031079010011012013090111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+27
Endgame+19
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +20
10Coral scored#14
36Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
60Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points2
90Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2526
#18
38.30.2
38.538.3
Auto5.3
Teleop31.5
End1.5
red by 1.8
8744
#11
36.50.2
36.336.6
Auto7.0
Teleop26.8
End2.7
Second
32.10.2
32.332.1
Auto6.2
Teleop18.2
End7.6
red by 1.3
6381
#24
30.80.2
30.630.8
Auto5.8
Teleop21.7
End3.3
Third
8821
#26
21.70.2
21.921.7
Auto4.9
Teleop15.2
End1.6
blue by 7.0
2531
#16
28.70.2
28.628.8
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End1.6