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Red187
319759.4
472866.3
802420.4
Blue134
590338.0
216929.8
283036.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15610850200250187134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+47Teleop
+59Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
7Coral scored#4
33Coral points20
33Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +40
25Coral scored#21
90Coral points74
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
128Total teleop88
Reef
12L4#12
9L3#7
8L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points6
187Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.31.2
63.764.9
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End8.6
red by 28.3
5903
#23
38.00.4
37.137.5
Auto7.7
Teleop24.3
End5.9
Second
59.40.9
57.458.3
Auto11.4
Teleop42.4
End5.6
red by 23.0
2830
#33
36.40.5
35.235.8
Auto5.3
Teleop30.8
End0.3
Third
8024
#30
20.41.2
17.718.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End4.2
blue by 9.4
2169
#10
29.80.5
28.629.2
Auto6.7
Teleop17.6
End5.5