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Red168
702145.9
400955.5
222528.3
Blue60
761921.7
957820.0
453123.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1527205010020025016860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+88Teleop
+108Endgame
+108Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
0Leave6
8Coral scored#1
40Coral points3
40Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +57
16Coral scored#10
56Coral points37
3Processor algae#0
7Net algae#2
18Processor points0
28Net points8
46Algae points8
102Total teleop45
Reef
8L4#5
7L3#2
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#13
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +108
0Foul points0
168Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.51.0
53.254.2
Auto12.9
Teleop37.1
End5.5
red by 31.9
23.60.1
23.823.6
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End4.8
Second
45.91.0
43.644.6
Auto11.2
Teleop25.5
End9.2
red by 24.2
7619
#34
21.70.1
21.821.7
Auto2.9
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Third
2225
#17
28.31.4
25.226.6
Auto4.8
Teleop16.4
End7.1
red by 8.3
9578
#35
20.00.1
20.220.0
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End0.7