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Red180
319759.4
472866.3
802420.4
Blue103
420731.4
53742.5
582635.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15011750100200250180103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+69Teleop
+71Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +62
17Coral scored#11
60Coral points40
6Processor algae#3
8Net algae#2
36Processor points18
32Net points8
68Algae points26
128Total teleop66
Reef
9L4#7
5L3#5
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +77
6Foul points0
180Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.31.0
62.663.7
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End8.6
red by 23.8
537
#9
42.50.3
43.543.2
Auto5.5
Teleop32.1
End5.0
Second
59.40.8
56.657.4
Auto11.4
Teleop42.4
End5.6
red by 24.0
35.40.2
36.135.8
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End2.2
Third
8024
#30
20.41.0
16.617.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End4.2
blue by 11.1
4207
#15
31.40.3
31.731.4
Auto5.9
Teleop19.1
End6.4