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Red134
353876.8
171453.8
999516.0
Blue59
282633.1
99915.3
118835.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1696805010015020025030013459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+77Teleop
+75Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +60
22Coral scored#9
78Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
106Total teleop46
Reef
10L4#3
9L3#3
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points0
134Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.80.2
75.475.2
Auto17.9
Teleop56.8
End2.0
red by 41.5
35.30.3
35.435.1
Auto10.2
Teleop23.1
End2.0
Second
53.80.2
52.452.2
Auto9.6
Teleop37.4
End6.6
red by 20.7
33.10.3
33.232.9
Auto5.7
Teleop24.5
End2.9
Third
9995
Unranked
16.00.3
13.813.5
Auto2.9
Teleop11.8
End2.1
red by 10.7
9991
#17
5.30.3
5.45.1
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8