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Red209
353876.8
171453.8
999516.0
Blue82
282633.1
99915.3
118835.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1686605010015020025020982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+115Teleop
+127Endgame
+127Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave6
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points13
44Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +90
26Coral scored#11
95Coral points41
3Processor algae#1
9Net algae#3
18Processor points6
36Net points12
54Algae points18
149Total teleop59
Reef
13L4#6
12L3#4
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
46Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +127
0Foul points0
209Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.81.5
75.276.8
Auto17.9
Teleop56.8
End2.0
red by 41.5
35.30.2
35.135.3
Auto10.2
Teleop23.1
End2.0
Second
53.81.5
52.253.8
Auto9.6
Teleop37.4
End6.6
red by 20.7
33.10.2
32.933.1
Auto5.7
Teleop24.5
End2.9
Third
9995
Unranked
16.02.5
13.516.0
Auto2.9
Teleop11.8
End2.1
red by 10.7
9991
#17
5.30.2
5.15.3
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8