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Red142
353876.8
957823.5
1050529.7
Blue71
17165.7
118835.3
710321.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17510705015020025030014271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+71Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave9
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points10
27Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +63
21Coral scored#8
75Coral points30
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
113Total teleop50
Reef
10L4#4
6L3#3
5L2#1
5L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
142Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.80.5
78.377.8
Auto17.9
Teleop56.8
End2.0
red by 41.5
35.32.2
49.547.2
Auto10.2
Teleop23.1
End2.0
Second
29.70.5
51.350.8
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End1.1
red by 8.0
7103
#13
21.72.2
37.535.2
Auto6.3
Teleop14.2
End1.2
Third
9578
#12
23.50.5
20.019.5
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
red by 17.7
1716
#16
5.72.2
17.715.4
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed