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Red123
283040.4
453124.5
558626.8
Blue84
99915.3
761915.7
171453.8
46%Model gave it54%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions849405015020025030012384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+19Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave6
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +5
16Coral scored#13
59Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
69Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#4
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#19
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
123Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.43.0
32.735.6
Auto8.8
Teleop24.1
End7.4
blue by 13.4
53.80.2
46.146.2
Auto9.6
Teleop37.4
End6.6
Second
5586
#11
26.83.0
18.621.6
Auto2.9
Teleop22.5
End1.5
red by 11.1
7619
#14
15.70.2
21.721.9
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End4.7
Third
24.53.0
24.327.2
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End5.9
red by 19.2
9991
#17
5.30.3
11.211.5
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed