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Red122
282633.1
171453.8
283040.4
Blue65
338114.1
957823.5
761915.7
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13643010015020025012265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+67Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points1
23Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +54
15Coral scored#7
53Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
12Processor points6
28Net points8
40Algae points14
93Total teleop39
Reef
9L4#2
5L3#3
2L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
122Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.80.1
44.144.3
Auto9.6
Teleop37.4
End6.6
red by 30.3
9578
#12
23.50.7
18.719.5
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
Second
40.40.1
31.932.0
Auto8.8
Teleop24.1
End7.4
red by 24.7
7619
#14
15.70.7
20.821.5
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End4.7
Third
33.10.1
40.941.0
Auto5.7
Teleop24.5
End2.9
red by 19.0
3381
#10
14.10.7
11.812.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned