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Red49
558626.8
118835.3
99936.8
Blue36
99915.3
1050529.7
453124.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69960204060801201401604936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+15Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +9
7Coral scored#5
26Coral points17
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
36Total teleop27
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
49Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.30.9
41.440.4
Auto10.2
Teleop23.1
End2.0
red by 5.6
29.72.8
45.442.5
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Second
5586
#11
26.80.9
20.119.1
Auto2.9
Teleop22.5
End1.5
red by 2.4
24.52.8
27.424.5
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End5.9
Third
6.81.6
1.70.1
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
red by 1.5
9991
#17
5.34.7
6.01.3
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed