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Red113
353876.8
338114.1
360212.1
Blue98
710321.7
171453.8
957823.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1209905015020025030035040011398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+41Teleop
+27Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points17
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +38
17Coral scored#7
60Coral points26
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
88Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points12
113Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.80.8
72.172.8
Auto17.9
Teleop56.8
End2.0
red by 23.0
53.80.5
44.644.1
Auto9.6
Teleop37.4
End6.6
Second
3381
#10
14.10.8
11.011.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End0.5
blue by 9.4
9578
#12
23.50.5
19.218.7
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
Third
3602
#15
12.10.8
18.519.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.0
blue by 9.5
7103
#13
21.70.5
29.629.1
Auto6.3
Teleop14.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsEarned