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Red102
453124.5
282633.1
710321.7
Blue37
99915.3
17165.7
360212.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1082605015020010237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+61Teleop
+63Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave6
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
24Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +43
9Coral scored#5
34Coral points17
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
12Processor points6
24Net points4
36Algae points10
70Total teleop27
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
2Foul points0
102Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.10.1
39.339.2
Auto5.7
Teleop24.5
End2.9
red by 20.9
3602
#15
12.10.3
19.018.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.0
Second
24.50.1
21.020.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End5.9
red by 18.7
1716
#16
5.70.3
11.010.8
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Third
7103
#13
21.70.1
28.828.7
Auto6.3
Teleop14.2
End1.2
red by 16.4
9991
#17
5.30.5
0.80.3
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsMissed