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Red35
99936.8
1050529.7
761915.7
Blue69
338114.1
118835.3
283040.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61920501502003569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+40
Endgame+44
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +23
4Coral scored#9
13Coral points32
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
17Total teleop40
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
10Foul points0
35Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.72.3
40.838.4
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End1.1
blue by 10.7
40.40.8
32.031.2
Auto8.8
Teleop24.1
End7.4
Second
7619
#14
15.72.3
18.015.7
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End4.7
blue by 19.6
35.30.8
36.936.1
Auto10.2
Teleop23.1
End2.0
Third
6.83.9
1.1-2.7
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
blue by 7.3
3381
#10
14.10.8
12.511.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsMissed