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Red53
99915.3
1050529.7
118835.3
Blue49
338114.1
99936.8
957823.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98230501502005349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
15Coral points9
24Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
4Coral scored#5
15Coral points18
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
23Total teleop28
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points6
53Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.31.5
36.134.6
Auto10.2
Teleop23.1
End2.0
red by 11.8
9578
#12
23.50.9
20.121.0
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
Second
29.71.5
38.437.0
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End1.1
red by 15.6
3381
#10
14.10.9
11.712.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End0.5
Third
9991
#17
5.32.4
0.3-2.1
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 1.5
6.81.6
-2.7-1.2
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed