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Red40
17165.7
282633.1
361828.7
Blue98
1050529.7
761915.7
171453.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741140501001502004098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+52
Endgame+52
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave9
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points8
9Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +44
5Coral scored#13
17Coral points45
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
25Total teleop69
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points6
40Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.12.2
39.437.1
Auto5.7
Teleop24.5
End2.9
blue by 20.7
53.80.5
46.145.6
Auto9.6
Teleop37.4
End6.6
Second
28.72.2
23.521.3
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End1.1
blue by 1.0
29.70.5
37.036.5
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Third
1716
#16
5.72.2
10.88.5
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 10.0
7619
#14
15.70.5
15.715.3
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed