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Red44
99915.3
360212.1
558626.8
Blue62
710321.7
283040.4
99936.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42680501001504462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+6
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +6
6Coral scored#9
20Coral points32
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
34Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
44Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5586
#11
26.80.5
18.619.1
Auto2.9
Teleop22.5
End1.5
blue by 13.6
40.40.2
31.231.4
Auto8.8
Teleop24.1
End7.4
Second
3602
#15
12.10.5
20.120.6
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.0
blue by 9.5
7103
#13
21.70.2
28.829.0
Auto6.3
Teleop14.2
End1.2
Third
9991
#17
5.30.8
-2.1-1.4
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 1.5
6.80.3
-1.2-0.9
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsEarned