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Red79
118835.3
338114.1
361828.7
Blue160
453124.5
353876.8
957823.5
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7114005010015020079160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+71
Endgame+81
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave9
1Coral scored#6
4Coral points28
13Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +47
10Coral scored#21
36Coral points75
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
60Total teleop107
Reef
5L4#10
3L3#8
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
0Foul points0
79Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.30.6
34.635.2
Auto10.2
Teleop23.1
End2.0
blue by 41.5
76.83.0
73.576.5
Auto17.9
Teleop56.8
End2.0
Second
28.70.6
22.923.5
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End1.1
red by 4.3
24.53.0
21.023.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End5.9
Third
3381
#10
14.10.6
12.613.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End0.5
blue by 9.4
9578
#12
23.53.0
21.024.0
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned