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Red71
99915.3
282633.1
453124.5
Blue41
17165.7
957823.5
1050529.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72780501001502007141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+30Teleop
+42Endgame
+30Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
6Coral scored#1
20Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
34Total teleop4
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#2
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
12Foul points24
71Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.10.0
37.137.1
Auto5.7
Teleop24.5
End2.9
red by 3.4
29.73.5
36.533.1
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Second
24.50.0
23.923.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End5.9
red by 1.0
9578
#12
23.53.5
24.020.5
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
Third
9991
#17
5.30.1
-1.4-1.4
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 0.5
1716
#16
5.73.5
8.55.1
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed