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Red74
761915.7
558626.8
283040.4
Blue109
118835.3
353876.8
99936.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59132010015020025074109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+49
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave0
2Coral scored#9
10Coral points44
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +21
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
42Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#7
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#25
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
74Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.6
31.131.7
Auto8.8
Teleop24.1
End7.4
blue by 36.4
76.80.1
76.276.1
Auto17.9
Teleop56.8
End2.0
Second
5586
#11
26.80.6
19.119.6
Auto2.9
Teleop22.5
End1.5
blue by 8.4
35.30.1
35.235.2
Auto10.2
Teleop23.1
End2.0
Third
7619
#14
15.70.6
15.315.8
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End4.7
red by 8.9
6.80.1
-1.3-1.4
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed42%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed