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Red132
710321.7
171453.8
99915.3
Blue126
453124.5
353876.8
1050529.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73156050100200250132126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+6Teleop
+8Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
20Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +13
14Coral scored#18
50Coral points65
5Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
30Processor points6
16Net points12
46Algae points18
96Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#9
6L3#8
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points2
132Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.83.5
46.550.0
Auto9.6
Teleop37.4
End6.6
blue by 23.0
76.81.3
76.174.9
Auto17.9
Teleop56.8
End2.0
Second
7103
#13
21.73.5
28.732.2
Auto6.3
Teleop14.2
End1.2
blue by 8.0
29.71.3
34.032.7
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Third
9991
#17
5.34.2
-3.21.1
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 19.2
24.51.3
23.922.6
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned