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Red52
282633.1
360212.1
99936.8
Blue68
361828.7
17165.7
761915.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6245020801001201401605268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+20
Endgame+28
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +19
5Coral scored#7
18Coral points25
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#4
0Processor points0
4Net points16
4Algae points16
22Total teleop41
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
12Foul points0
52Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.10.9
35.834.9
Auto5.7
Teleop24.5
End2.9
red by 4.4
28.71.7
22.223.9
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End1.1
Second
3602
#15
12.10.9
19.218.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.0
blue by 3.6
7619
#14
15.71.7
16.217.9
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End4.7
Third
6.81.1
-1.4-2.5
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
red by 1.1
1716
#16
5.71.7
3.95.7
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned