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Red100
99915.3
353876.8
282633.1
Blue100
171453.8
17165.7
118835.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12491050150200250100100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points30
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +3
11Coral scored#15
40Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
60Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#8
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
6Foul points0
100Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.8
Auto17.9
Teleop56.8
End2.0
red by 23.0
53.8
Auto9.6
Teleop37.4
End6.6
Second
33.1
Auto5.7
Teleop24.5
End2.9
blue by 2.2
35.3
Auto10.2
Teleop23.1
End2.0
Third
9991
#17
5.3
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 0.5
1716
#16
5.7
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed