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Red41
453124.5
558626.8
957823.5
Blue98
710321.7
283040.4
361828.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5810301502002504198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+43
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points18
13Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +29
4Coral scored#13
16Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
26Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
41Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5586
#11
26.81.3
18.216.9
Auto2.9
Teleop22.5
End1.5
blue by 13.6
40.40.6
34.034.7
Auto8.8
Teleop24.1
End7.4
Second
24.51.3
17.215.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End5.9
blue by 4.3
28.70.6
21.221.8
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End1.1
Third
9578
#12
23.51.3
21.420.2
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
red by 1.8
7103
#13
21.70.6
30.631.3
Auto6.3
Teleop14.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned