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Red102
761915.7
171453.8
17165.7
Blue110
353876.8
99915.3
118835.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621320100150200250102110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+10
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave3
3Coral scored#8
17Coral points38
20Total auto41
TeleoperatedRed +11
14Coral scored#15
52Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
76Total teleop65
Reef
5L4#10
5L3#6
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
102Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.82.4
47.850.2
Auto9.6
Teleop37.4
End6.6
blue by 23.0
76.80.2
71.771.9
Auto17.9
Teleop56.8
End2.0
Second
7619
#14
15.72.4
15.117.6
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End4.7
blue by 19.6
35.30.2
37.637.8
Auto10.2
Teleop23.1
End2.0
Third
1716
#16
5.72.4
2.54.9
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
red by 0.5
9991
#17
5.30.2
-2.4-2.2
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed