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Red92
957823.5
558626.8
282633.1
Blue50
360212.1
453124.5
338114.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions874601001502009250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+42Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +46
16Coral scored#6
56Coral points22
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
76Total teleop30
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
92Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.11.2
34.035.2
Auto5.7
Teleop24.5
End2.9
red by 8.6
24.50.2
15.916.2
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End5.9
Second
5586
#11
26.81.2
16.918.1
Auto2.9
Teleop22.5
End1.5
red by 12.7
3381
#10
14.10.2
12.012.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End0.5
Third
9578
#12
23.51.2
20.221.4
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
red by 11.3
3602
#15
12.10.2
15.615.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed