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Red73
710321.7
1050529.7
118835.3
Blue93
99936.8
283040.4
171453.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107850501502002503003507393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+6
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +1
9Coral scored#11
31Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
55Total teleop54
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#5
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
73Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.32.1
37.835.7
Auto10.2
Teleop23.1
End2.0
blue by 18.5
53.80.4
50.250.6
Auto9.6
Teleop37.4
End6.6
Second
29.72.1
30.228.1
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End1.1
blue by 10.7
40.40.4
34.735.0
Auto8.8
Teleop24.1
End7.4
Third
7103
#13
21.72.1
31.329.2
Auto6.3
Teleop14.2
End1.2
red by 14.9
6.80.4
-3.7-3.3
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned