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Red67
761915.7
558626.8
171453.8
Blue17
283040.4
99915.3
17165.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105650501502006717

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+48Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points4
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +58
12Coral scored#0
44Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
58Total teleop0
Reef
6L4#1
3L3#0
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#1
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
67Total score17

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.81.5
46.244.7
Auto9.6
Teleop37.4
End6.6
red by 13.4
40.43.0
35.632.6
Auto8.8
Teleop24.1
End7.4
Second
5586
#11
26.81.5
21.620.1
Auto2.9
Teleop22.5
End1.5
red by 21.1
1716
#16
5.73.0
15.412.4
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Third
7619
#14
15.71.5
21.920.4
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End4.7
red by 10.5
9991
#17
5.35.1
11.56.4
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed