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Red47
338114.1
361828.7
453124.5
Blue87
710321.7
282633.1
353876.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5118901001502503004787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points23
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +17
8Coral scored#9
30Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
34Total teleop51
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points6
47Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.71.2
23.121.9
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End1.1
blue by 48.0
76.85.6
77.872.1
Auto17.9
Teleop56.8
End2.0
Second
24.51.2
27.226.0
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End5.9
blue by 8.6
33.15.6
49.944.2
Auto5.7
Teleop24.5
End2.9
Third
3381
#10
14.11.2
12.311.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End0.5
blue by 7.6
7103
#13
21.75.6
35.229.6
Auto6.3
Teleop14.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed53%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed