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Red24
99915.3
99936.8
957823.5
Blue76
1050529.7
360212.1
283040.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231330501001502002502476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+54
Endgame+52
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +40
3Coral scored#11
12Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
12Total teleop52
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#3
3Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points0
24Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9578
#12
23.50.2
19.519.3
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
blue by 16.9
40.42.1
32.630.5
Auto8.8
Teleop24.1
End7.4
Second
6.80.4
1.41.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
blue by 22.9
29.72.1
50.848.7
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Third
9991
#17
5.30.4
6.46.0
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 6.9
3602
#15
12.12.1
23.921.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
4%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed