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Red29
558626.8
361828.7
710321.7
Blue29
338114.1
118835.3
17165.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777230405060902929

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +12
3Coral scored#3
12Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
22Total teleop10
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points2
29Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.7
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End1.1
blue by 6.6
35.3
Auto10.2
Teleop23.1
End2.0
Second
5586
#11
26.8
Auto2.9
Teleop22.5
End1.5
red by 12.7
3381
#10
14.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End0.5
Third
7103
#13
21.7
Auto6.3
Teleop14.2
End1.2
red by 16.0
1716
#16
5.7
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed