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Red153
353876.8
171453.8
957823.5
Blue65
1050529.7
360212.1
282633.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15612205010020025015365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+78Teleop
+76Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +61
18Coral scored#9
66Coral points33
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
18Processor points6
20Net points4
38Algae points10
104Total teleop43
Reef
9L4#5
7L3#3
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +88
12Foul points0
153Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.80.1
72.172.1
Auto17.9
Teleop56.8
End2.0
red by 43.7
33.13.3
44.240.9
Auto5.7
Teleop24.5
End2.9
Second
53.80.1
44.744.6
Auto9.6
Teleop37.4
End6.6
red by 24.1
29.73.3
48.745.4
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Third
9578
#12
23.50.1
19.319.2
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
red by 11.3
3602
#15
12.13.3
21.918.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed