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Red54
353876.8
17165.7
99936.8
Blue83
1050529.7
282633.1
558626.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78870501502002503003504005483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+23
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +15
3Coral scored#8
12Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
22Total teleop37
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
12Foul points18
54Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.81.8
71.469.6
Auto17.9
Teleop56.8
End2.0
red by 43.7
33.10.8
34.133.3
Auto5.7
Teleop24.5
End2.9
Second
6.81.8
-3.7-5.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
blue by 22.9
29.70.8
25.024.3
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Third
1716
#16
5.71.8
1.8-0.0
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 21.1
5586
#11
26.80.8
17.416.6
Auto2.9
Teleop22.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsEarned