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Red129
283040.4
118835.3
171453.8
Blue92
957823.5
453124.5
360212.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14242010020025012992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+27Teleop
+27Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
14Coral scored#11
51Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
73Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
10Foul points0
129Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.80.8
49.048.2
Auto9.6
Teleop37.4
End6.6
red by 29.3
24.52.1
14.316.3
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End5.9
Second
40.40.8
33.833.0
Auto8.8
Teleop24.1
End7.4
red by 16.9
9578
#12
23.52.1
20.222.3
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
Third
35.30.8
34.133.3
Auto10.2
Teleop23.1
End2.0
red by 23.1
3602
#15
12.12.1
12.414.4
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned