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Red45
957823.5
558626.8
360212.1
Blue64
1050529.7
761915.7
453124.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70760501001502004564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+7
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +3
7Coral scored#7
24Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
32Total teleop35
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
45Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5586
#11
26.80.9
18.017.0
Auto2.9
Teleop22.5
End1.5
blue by 2.9
29.70.1
24.925.0
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Second
9578
#12
23.50.9
25.124.2
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
blue by 1.0
24.50.1
20.120.3
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End5.9
Third
3602
#15
12.10.9
15.915.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.0
blue by 3.6
7619
#14
15.70.1
16.817.0
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsEarned