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Red118
957823.5
353876.8
761915.7
Blue71
99936.8
558626.8
1050529.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1393605010015020025011871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+47Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points7
27Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +33
18Coral scored#12
63Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
85Total teleop52
Reef
10L4#5
6L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
118Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.80.4
70.470.9
Auto17.9
Teleop56.8
End2.0
red by 47.1
29.71.8
25.026.8
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Second
9578
#12
23.50.4
24.224.6
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
blue by 3.4
5586
#11
26.81.8
17.018.8
Auto2.9
Teleop22.5
End1.5
Third
7619
#14
15.70.4
17.017.4
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End4.7
red by 8.9
6.81.8
2.03.8
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed