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Red51
283040.4
761915.7
17165.7
Blue45
1050529.7
710321.7
338114.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586501001502002505145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+6
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
6Coral scored#5
23Coral points19
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
31Total teleop27
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
51Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.5
38.437.9
Auto8.8
Teleop24.1
End7.4
red by 10.7
29.71.1
26.825.7
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Second
7619
#14
15.70.5
18.818.3
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End4.7
blue by 6.0
7103
#13
21.71.1
22.721.6
Auto6.3
Teleop14.2
End1.2
Third
1716
#16
5.70.5
1.40.9
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 8.4
3381
#10
14.11.1
12.611.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed