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Red65
282633.1
957823.5
118835.3
Blue67
171453.8
453124.5
99936.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102850501502002506567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +4
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points29
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
53Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
65Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.31.7
32.831.0
Auto10.2
Teleop23.1
End2.0
blue by 18.5
53.80.8
49.748.9
Auto9.6
Teleop37.4
End6.6
Second
33.11.7
30.829.1
Auto5.7
Teleop24.5
End2.9
red by 8.6
24.50.8
20.619.8
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End5.9
Third
9578
#12
23.51.7
24.923.2
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
red by 16.7
6.80.8
5.34.5
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed