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Red109
283040.4
118835.3
1050529.7
Blue156
282633.1
361828.7
353876.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95136050150200109156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+61
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave3
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points27
29Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +60
13Coral scored#23
48Coral points84
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#7
12Processor points12
4Net points28
16Algae points40
64Total teleop124
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#10
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#37
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
109Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.9
38.939.8
Auto8.8
Teleop24.1
End7.4
blue by 36.4
76.82.1
72.174.3
Auto17.9
Teleop56.8
End2.0
Second
35.30.9
31.332.3
Auto10.2
Teleop23.1
End2.0
red by 2.2
33.12.1
28.931.0
Auto5.7
Teleop24.5
End2.9
Third
29.70.9
24.625.6
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End1.1
red by 1.0
28.72.1
22.824.9
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed