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Red90
360212.1
171453.8
338114.1
Blue24
761915.7
957823.5
99915.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8345020601001201401609024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+64Teleop
+54Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave0
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +47
10Coral scored#1
37Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
51Total teleop4
Reef
8L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
12Foul points0
90Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.80.1
48.548.5
Auto9.6
Teleop37.4
End6.6
red by 30.3
9578
#12
23.51.6
22.721.1
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
Second
3381
#10
14.10.1
11.011.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End0.5
blue by 1.6
7619
#14
15.71.6
17.816.2
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End4.7
Third
3602
#15
12.10.1
11.611.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.0
red by 6.9
9991
#17
5.31.6
4.83.2
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsEarned