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Red157
282633.1
283040.4
353876.8
Blue45
118835.3
761915.7
360212.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16948010015020025030015745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+104Teleop
+104Endgame
+112Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave3
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
33Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +84
21Coral scored#4
76Coral points16
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
110Total teleop26
Reef
9L4#3
9L3#1
3L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +112
8Foul points0
157Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.80.3
74.374.6
Auto17.9
Teleop56.8
End2.0
red by 41.5
35.31.0
32.331.3
Auto10.2
Teleop23.1
End2.0
Second
40.40.3
39.840.1
Auto8.8
Teleop24.1
End7.4
red by 24.7
7619
#14
15.71.0
16.215.2
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End4.7
Third
33.10.3
31.031.3
Auto5.7
Teleop24.5
End2.9
red by 20.9
3602
#15
12.11.0
11.710.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed